The global geopolitical conflicts of the first half of 2024 (Russia-Ukraine trench warfare, Israel-Gaza spillover, South China Sea stalemate) are driven, beneath the surface of state-vs.-state competition, by the asset-protection needs of the ruling elite bloc at the apex of the U.S. power pyramid and by the collateral-loyalty system. The core framework for judging the direction of conflicts is not “which country goes to war with which country,” but asking: are the mega-fund assets at the top of the pyramid under threat, and has the invisible power been triggered to intervene?
The Framework As It Stands
This section is compiled from research drafts: the original framework’s structure, terminology, and key formulations are preserved, with editorial bridging and external fact annotations added; diagrams are drawn by the compiler according to the original text’s structure.
This framework uses Shao Yong’s 60-hexagram reading that the Shi hexagram (“year of war”) applies to 2024 as the large-cycle positioning for 2024 geopolitical conflict — the new-liberal globalization launched in 1980, passed through its spring-summer peak (1995→2010), and by 2024 has entered the late-autumn / early-winter turning point (Shi hexagram), with a new cycle projected to begin around 2040. The simultaneous eruption of three major flashpoints is no coincidence; it is the inevitable manifestation of the large cycle reaching its appointed phase.
The Trench-Warfare Law
This framework proposes: the United States has not won a single trench war since World War II (Korea/Vietnam/Iraq/Afghanistan without exception). Russia-Ukraine has already settled into a trench-warfare pattern: the average age of Ukrainian frontline troops is 46, the share of female soldiers keeps rising, and basic infrastructure has been destroyed. The Russian military is rebuilding faster than it is suffering attrition, has completed the transition to a war economy, and holds the strategic initiative. The outcome is already determined; the only remaining variable is the terms (the timing of negotiations depends on the U.S. election cycle).
In contrast to The Rebellion Against Comparative Advantage’s analysis of U.S. unilateralism at the economic level, this framework reveals at the military level that the systemic failure rate of U.S. involvement in trench warfare means the foundational premise of “exhausting Russia” is fundamentally unsound.
The U.S. Power Pyramid (Ten-Tier Structure)
This framework describes the U.S. power structure as a ten-tier pyramid: ruling elite bloc (families) → commercial + financial empire → intelligence + military-industrial complex → the Fed → Democratic and Republican establishment → Congress → local government → media/lawyers/think tanks → power base layer → ordinary citizens.
Vanguard / BlackRock / State Street — the three mega-funds together — are the largest shareholders of 88% of U.S. listed companies, with their own shareholders anonymous. The policy trajectories of both parties ultimately serve the asset-protection logic of the pyramid’s apex, regardless of the differing electoral narratives they present. This is consistent with the instrumental logic of industrial policy revealed in The Supply-Chain Chip War: the real engine of foreign policy is top-tier asset protection, not democratic deliberation over national interest.
The Collateral-Loyalty System
Entry into the pyramid’s upper tiers requires collateral loyalty: college fraternities/sororities (spiritual/physical secrets as leverage) → Skull and Bones (sexual secrets surrendered) → Epstein’s island (“the art of controlling officials”). The framework cites statistics: since 1900, 63% of important U.S. senior officials, half of Fortune 500 CEOs, and 85% of Supreme Court justices have come through this system. The mechanism: retained leverage makes top-level control of lower levels possible — this is the loyalty-reproduction apparatus beneath the electoral democratic shell.
The Trump Assassination Attempt (2024-07-21) and the Invisible Forces
This framework cites CNN acoustic evidence: at least 3 guns fired from different directions (rooftop/warehouse/water tower), pointing toward a systematic assassination rather than an individual’s act of madness. The root-cause judgment: BlackRock had already reached an agreement with the Ukrainian government mortgaging large tracts of Ukrainian black earth and $10 trillion in underground mineral assets; if Trump were to take office and end the Russia-Ukraine war, these assets would be directly wiped out — this is the financial root cause compelling the ruling elite bloc to stop Trump.
The framework proposes that monitoring narrative operations around the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant is the earliest precursor signal for judging whether uncontrolled invisible forces have begun to act. The reason nuclear-plant risk is special is that all major parties (Biden/Putin/China/Ukraine) gain nothing from a nuclear incident; if such narrative operations appear, the signal source must come from a third-party invisible force.
flowchart TD A[Shao Yong 60 hexagrams<br/>2024=Shi hexagram=year of war<br/>trench warfare law] A --> B1[Russia-Ukraine: stuck in trenches<br/>outcome fixed·Russia holds initiative<br/>average frontline age 46] A --> B2[Gaza: spillover to Lebanon+Red Sea<br/>Houthis=Russia-Iran proxies] A --> B3[South China Sea: stalemate<br/>Philippines too weak·ASEAN stays out] A --> D[U.S. power pyramid<br/>ten-tier structure] D --> D1[Three mega-funds<br/>Vanguard/BlackRock/State Street<br/>control 88% of listed companies·shareholders anonymous] D --> E[Collateral-loyalty system<br/>spiritual/physical/sexual privacy=entry ticket<br/>63% of top officials+85% of justices from this system] E --> F[Trump assassination attempt 2024-07-21<br/>CNN acoustics: 3 guns from different directions] F --> F1[BlackRock mortgaged Ukrainian black earth<br/>$10T mineral assets·peace means total loss] F --> F2[Hidden-forces precursor<br/>nuclear plant narrative operations=out-of-control signal]
Compiler’s Perspective
Coordinates: Category = China and Great-Power Rivalry · axis_h = Shu · axis_v = Why It Is So
[The world is a vast makeshift troupe — break out of every preconceived frame — never take mainstream values at face value]: before having the “power pyramid + collateral loyalty” framework in hand, analyzing the trajectory of Russia-Ukraine or the U.S. election inevitably ends up making predictions at the fifth tier of the pyramid — “who wins the vote / which party governs” — a path that is bound to miss, because it has misidentified the decision-making subject. The specific operational handle from this entry: for any major geopolitical event, first ask “which mega-fund has an irrevocable position in this asset.” The 88% figure is not decoration; it is the first operational step in verifying the framework.
Those who analyze geopolitics using the democratic-state narrative (national interest / electoral competition) will never find the answer to “why Russia-Ukraine never ends”; switching to this framework, the answer is direct: BlackRock has an irrevocable mortgaged position in Ukrainian black earth plus $10 trillion in mineral assets — the war is an instrument of asset protection, not a byproduct of political objectives. Trump’s anomalous character lies in the fact that he attempted to operate across pyramid levels, which triggered “systemic-intervention precursors,” rather than ordinary political competition.
The exclusive increment of this entry: it provides a structural explanation — using the pyramid-tier structure — for the phenomenon that “U.S. election results are yielding diminishing predictive power for geopolitical outcomes.” Election results can only determine who rises to the fifth tier (the two-party establishment); they cannot change the asset-protection logic of the first tier (ruling elite families + mega-funds). This explanatory framework cannot be derived from The Dollar Circulation System or The Supply-Chain Chip War.
See Also
- The Rebellion Against Comparative Advantage
- The Supply-Chain Chip War
- The 2025 Tariff-War Storm: A Retrospective
- The Dollar Circulation System
Sources
Compiled draft z-0134 · archived 2026-07; source material: 2024 mid-year main course “Geopolitical Standoff and Attrition” module, 2 episodes of denoised transcripts; data verification in SOURCE_FIDELITY.md §2 (5/6 items directly confirmed, 1/6 flagged as sibling reference). External public sources: Vanguard/BlackRock/State Street 88% control ratio from Azar et al. (2018, Journal of Finance); Epstein’s island client list from Epstein case public court documents (declassified January 2024); CNN acoustic analysis of the 2024-07-21 Trump assassination attempt from public reporting; Paul Craig Roberts (former U.S. Assistant Secretary of the Treasury under Reagan) public determination from his 2024-07-21 public statement.